This will be the 102nd NFL season and will expand from a 16-game season to 17 for all teams. A concern for the Chargers is the availability online of star running back Austin Ekeler who missed another practice on Thursday. There are some promising running backs on the roster who could fill in for Ekeler but he’ll leave big shoes to fill if he misses time. If he is inactive, that news could wreak havoc with the NFL betting odds.
- With their first four-game winning streak of the Jameis Winston era, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are now in a position to gain a wild card berth.
- I expected Washington to have a solid offensive game against what came into the game as the worst defense in the NFL, but they managed to score just 13 points, all of which came in the first half.
- QB Josh Allen has a very shaky 7 TD-7 INT ratio this season, but it could get better against one of the worst secondaries in the league.
- The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos will be bracing for temperatures below 25 degrees, with some snow and wind on the table, as well.
- Kyler Murray is a top-two QB option this week and is cash-viable in a matchup with the Texans in which the Cardinals are implied by the Vegas odds to score 32.75 points, second-highest on the slate.
The Seahawks beat the Cardinals by 17 early last season, but Arizona got revenge with a 14-point win in Seattle later in the season. The Cardinals have only improved further since the last meeting between these teams and they looked like a juggernaut against the Cowboys. We still don’t fully know how the loss of Chandler Jones will impact this defense, but they have the 9th-best sack percentage in the NFL and I still like them over Seattle’s defense. Both of these teams are coming off rejuvenating victories that put a new light on their respective seasons. The Lions, fresh off a bye, beat the Jaguars down in an 18-point road win in which Detroit outgained Jacksonville by 9 first downs and 128 yards. The Falcons also came through with a massive 17-point victory over the Vikings in a massive bounceback game for Matt Ryan.
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Brady and the Bucs will look for a different outcome this season, as the Bears and rookie QB, Justin Fields are heavy underdogs in this one. The Carolina Panthers have had a somewhat confusing start to the season. After a hot 3-0 start, the Panthers have dropped their last three. The strength of schedule could have been the cause of the successful start to the season, and the Panthers will travel to New York to play another team with a losing record in the Giants. By Total Points, Winston has earned between 6 and 11 points as a passer in all but one start this year, numbers that range from “fine” to “pretty good” for a single game. In his last season in Tampa Bay, only two of his starts fell within that range, with three above and eleven below.
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If not for the gracious gods of scheduling, it is highly likely that the Indianapolis Colts would be winless heading into Week 6. Tennessee, also 2-3, will probably have to play again without starting quarterback Marcus Mariota who is nursing a hamstring injury. This will be a matchup of a very strong Tampa Bay offense against a very strong Titans defense. Their two strengths may cancel each other out and lead to a highly contested, close ball game that could come down to the final minutes. Expect the Tampa Bay offense to give the Titans everything they can handle in Sunday’s contest and the under may be the bet if the Titans offense can’t muster enough points to keep pace. They’ll be going against a high powered Tampa Bay offense lead by Mike Evans and Jameis Winston.
So, if we keep in mind that the negative number will represent a favored team, they will be expected to win by that many points. The positive number will give the underdog team that many points as a head start before the game begins. The underdog must lose by less than the point spread number or win the game outright for an underdog point spread to cash.
The Jets are coming off their bye week 1-4 SU and ATS on the season. New York is a dreadful 3-18 SU and 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games, and on the road the Jets are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11. For a live view and comparison of the odds see our NFL odds page.
The only other total on the board over 50 was in the Detroit Lions-Los Angeles Rams (50.5) showdown between QBs Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford. Goff was back in L.A., and his team led heading to the final quarter. The Rams outscored the Lions 11-0 in the final quarter, and a Goff interception in the end zone killed OVER bettors. In the second quarter, Brady hit WR Mike Evans with two more touchdown strikes to take a 35-3 lead into the room after 30 minutes. With a total of just 47, surely OVER bettors were starting to fire up the shots and celebrate a winning ticket.